What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 9¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.19.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 10% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 9%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

AFCON Champion on Kalshi

If Zimbabwe is the 2027 Men's Africa Cup of Nations champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

18% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
9¢ (now)	0.6¢	$3.19	9.6%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Morocco win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Morocco	31¢	31%	1.5¢	—	61%	2,420	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Egypt win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Egypt	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	432	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Nigeria win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Nigeria	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	254	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Senegal win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Senegal	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	223	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Cameroon win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Cameroon	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	100	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Ivory Coast	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	21	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Ghana win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Ghana	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	9	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will South Africa win the Africa Cup of Nations? · South Africa	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	9	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Congo DR win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Congo DR	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	4	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Zimbabwe win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Zimbabwe	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Zambia win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Zambia	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Uganda win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Uganda	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Tunisia win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Tunisia	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Tanzania win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Tanzania	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Sudan win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Sudan	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Mozambique win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Mozambique	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Mali win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Mali	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Guinea win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Guinea	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Equatorial Guinea win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Equatorial Guinea	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Gabon win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Gabon	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Algeria win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Algeria	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Cape Verde	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Comoros win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Comoros	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Burkina Faso win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Burkina Faso	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Botswana win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Botswana	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Benin win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Benin	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Angola win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Angola	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	0	Aug 03, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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