Markets › Kalshi › Climate and Weather
Snowfall in Alta Ski Resort on Kalshi
If the total snowfall recorded at Alta Ski Area in December 2026 is above 90 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: OnTheSnow, Alta Ski Area.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 100 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 100 inches | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 1 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 90 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 90 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 80 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 80 inches | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 70 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 70 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 60 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 60 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 50 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 50 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 40 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 40 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alta Ski Area have above 110 inches of snowfall in December 2026? · Above 110 inches | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.