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Liga Nacional de Basquetbol Game on Kalshi
If CA Platense wins the Penarol Mar Del Plata vs CA Platense men's professional Argentina LNB basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regatas Corrientes wins · Regatas Corrientes | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 18 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| CA Platense wins · CA Platense | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| Penarol Mar Del Plata wins · Penarol Mar Del Plata | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| San Martin Corrientes wins · San Martin Corrientes | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:05 UTC |
| Ferro Carril Oeste wins · Ferro Carril Oeste | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:05 UTC |
| Ciclista Olimpico de La Banda wins · Ciclista Olimpico de La Banda | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| IA Central Cordoba wins · IA Central Cordoba | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Argentino Junin wins · Argentino Junin | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| La Union Formosa wins · La Union Formosa | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| CA Lanus wins · CA Lanus | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.