What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia on Kalshi

If Aaron Gunn formally holds the position of leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Elections BC, Conservative Party of British Columbia, Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Lorne Doerkson	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	61%	6,086	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Iain Black be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Iain Black	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	3,072	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Caroline Elliott be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Caroline Elliott	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	1,144	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Yuri Fulmer be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Yuri Fulmer	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	493	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Claire Rattée be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Claire Rattée	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	492	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Chip Wilson be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Chip Wilson	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	333	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Stockwell Day be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Stockwell Day	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	283	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Steve Kooner be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Steve Kooner	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	253	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Sheldon Clare be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Sheldon Clare	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	104	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aaron Gunn be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Aaron Gunn	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	103	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Harman Bhangu be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Harman Bhangu	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	84	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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