Markets › Kalshi › Elections
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats on Kalshi
If the Conservative Party of British Columbia has won at least 62 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Elections BC.
Market says (typical open contract)
98%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 98¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | 98.1% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 52 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 52 or more | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,837 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 47 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 47 or more | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,402 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 42 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 42 or more | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,184 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 57 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 57 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 188 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 62 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 62 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 30 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 37 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 37 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 32 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 32 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 27 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 22 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · 17 or more | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Oct 24, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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