Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Brent Oil on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 98.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Brent.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
25% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $94.99 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 2,116 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $104.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,919 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $98.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,815 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 96.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $96.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,527 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 108.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $108.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,499 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 102.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $102.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,178 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 110.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $110.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 951 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $100.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 922 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $106.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 773 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $90.99 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 767 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 112.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $112.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 669 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $92.99 | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 300 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $88.99 | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 273 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $82.99 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 198 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 86.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $86.99 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 160 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $80.99 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 100 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $84.99 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 70 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 116.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $116.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 66 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 114.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $114.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 17 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 78.99 USD/Bbl on November 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $78.99 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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