Markets › Kalshi › Crypto
Bitcoin price Above/below on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 83749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
32%
Median YES price across 318 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
63% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 32¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $2.38 | 33.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,600 or above | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 109,428 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $70,000 or above | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 96,249 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,500 or above | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 93,814 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $72,500 or above | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 86,138 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,700 or above | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 69,697 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $74,500 or above | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 67,289 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,400 or above | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 66,816 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $76,000 or above | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 53,078 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,200 or above | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 51,657 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $69,000 or above | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 47,234 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,800 or above | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 47,072 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,000 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 44,844 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,300 or above | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 43,851 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $75,000 or above | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 41,956 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $75,500 or above | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 36,677 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,100 or above | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 34,816 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $74,000 or above | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 32,379 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $68,500 or above | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 32,241 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $72,000 or above | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 31,930 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $80,000 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 30,802 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $87,500 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 30,047 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,000 or above | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 27,598 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $68,000 or above | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 25,457 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $77,000 or above | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 23,059 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $86,000 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 22,540 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $81,000 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 22,045 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $70,500 or above | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 21,127 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $83,000 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 20,007 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $78,000 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 18,756 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $78,000 or above | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 15,419 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,000 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 15,294 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $71,000 or above | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 15,026 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,750 or above | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 14,740 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $73,000 or above | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 14,055 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $73,000 or above | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 13,714 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,250 or above | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 13,345 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,900 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 13,201 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $69,500 or above | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 13,157 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $79,000 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 13,094 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price on Nov 13, 2026? · $63,500 or above | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 11,775 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 318 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.