Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Brightspring annual kpi on Kalshi
If BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. reports Above 48300 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 47400 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 47400 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 302 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 48000 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 48000 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 206 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 47700 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 47700 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 200 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 47100 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 47100 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 159 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 48300 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 48300 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 46800 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 46800 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 1 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 46500 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 46500 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 42.9 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026? · Above 42.9 million | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 1 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 46200 home health average daily census in fiscal 2026? · Above 46200 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.7 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026? · Above 43.7 million | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.5 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026? · Above 43.5 million | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.3 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026? · Above 43.3 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
| Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.1 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026? · Above 43.1 million | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Jun 03, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.