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Bud Light Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Bud Light Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 81, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
36%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
73% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 36¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.24 | 37.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 89 ? · Above 89 | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 5,973 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 81 ? · Above 81 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,966 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 82.5 ? · Above 82.5 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,871 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 85.5 ? · Above 85.5 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 2,492 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 89.5 ? · Above 89.5 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 2,484 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 88.5 ? · Above 88.5 | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 2,041 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 84 ? · Above 84 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,601 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 87.5 ? · Above 87.5 | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1,497 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 92 ? · Above 92 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 816 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 90.5 ? · Above 90.5 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 794 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bud Light Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 87 ? · Above 87 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 89 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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