What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

BUNDESLIGA on Kalshi

If Stuttgart is the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Dortmund win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Dortmund	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	34,462	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Bayern Munich	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	19%	32,383	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Freiburg win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Freiburg	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	21,251	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Bremen win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Bremen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	14,284	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Stuttgart win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Stuttgart	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	14,278	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Leverkusen win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Leverkusen	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	7,892	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Elversberg win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Elversberg	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,097	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Leipzig win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Leipzig	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,711	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Augsburg win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Augsburg	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,425	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Union Berlin win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Union Berlin	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,185	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will FC Cologne win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · FC Cologne	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	732	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will M´gladbach win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · M´gladbach	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	467	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Schalke win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Schalke	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	102	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Hoffenheim win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Hoffenheim	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	93	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Hamburg win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Hamburg	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	19	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Mainz win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Mainz	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	14	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Paderborn win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Paderborn	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Frankfurt win the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · Frankfurt	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.