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China CBA Champion on Kalshi
If Zhejiang Lions wins the China CBA championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Sofascore, Sofascore, Flashscore, CBA.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China CBA Champion: Beijing Ducks · Beijing Ducks | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 51 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Shanghai Sharks · Shanghai Sharks | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 25 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Zhejiang Lions · Zhejiang Lions | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Zhejiang Golden Bulls · Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Xinjiang Flying Tigers · Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Tianjin Pioneers · Tianjin Pioneers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Shanxi Loongs · Shanxi Loongs | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Shandong Kirin · Shandong Kirin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Sichuan Blue Whales · Sichuan Blue Whales | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Qingdao Eagles · Qingdao Eagles | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Ningbo Rockets · Ningbo Rockets | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Nanjing Monkey Kings · Nanjing Monkey Kings | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Liaoning Flying Leopards · Liaoning Flying Leopards | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Shenzhen Leopards · Shenzhen Leopards | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Jilin Northeast Tigers · Jilin Northeast Tigers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Jiangsu Dragons · Jiangsu Dragons | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Guangdong Southern Tigers · Guangdong Southern Tigers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Guangzhou Loong Lions · Guangzhou Loong Lions | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Fujian Sturgeons · Fujian Sturgeons | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| China CBA Champion: Beijing Royal Fighters · Beijing Royal Fighters | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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