What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.43.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

Bank of Mexico interest rate decision on Kalshi

If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Maintain current rate at December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Banco de México, Trading Economics.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.43	2.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Cut 25bps	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	9,210	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Maintain current rate	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	4,489	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Hike 25bps	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	594	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 50bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Hike 50bps	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	246	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Hike more than 50bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Hike more than 50bps	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	133	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 50bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Cut 50bps	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	103	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC
Will the Bank of Mexico Cut more than 50bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting? · Cut more than 50bps	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	75	Dec 17, 18:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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