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Congress Testify this year? on Kalshi

If James Donaldson has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Library of Congress.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Ghislaine Maxwell4¢4%0.2¢—7%37,334Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Jerome Powell testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Jerome Powell7¢7%0.4¢—14%12,276Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Mark Zuckerberg testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Mark Zuckerberg13¢13%0.8¢—26%10,650Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Shou Zi Chew testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Shou Zi Chew9¢9%0.6¢—18%7,607Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Anthony Fauci testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Anthony Fauci5¢5%0.3¢—9%5,724Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Sam Altman testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Sam Altman18¢18%1.1¢—37%5,287Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Barack Obama testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Barack Obama3¢3%0.2¢—6%1,524Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will James Donaldson testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · James Donaldson6¢6%0.4¢—13%983Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Jelly Roll testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Jelly Roll6¢6%0.4¢—12%874Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Taylor Swift testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Taylor Swift4¢4%0.3¢—8%357Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Jon Stewart testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Jon Stewart4¢4%0.3¢—9%357Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Joe Biden testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Joe Biden6¢6%0.4¢—11%324Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Kamala Harris testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? · Kamala Harris6¢6%0.4¢—12%236Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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