Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Córdoba Governor winner on Kalshi
If the candidate of the registered alliance that includes the Unión Cívica Radical but not La Libertad Avanza wins the 2027 Córdoba Province gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Juzgado Electoral de la Provincia de Córdoba.
Market says (typical open contract)
37%
Median YES price across 3 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
74% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 37¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.21 | 38.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the candidate of the registered alliance that includes the Unión Cívica Radical but not La Libertad Avanza win the 2027 Córdoba Province gubernatorial election? · UCR | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Oct 09, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the candidate of the registered alliance that includes the Partido Justicialista win the 2027 Córdoba Province gubernatorial election? · PJ | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Oct 09, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the candidate of the registered alliance that includes La Libertad Avanza win the 2027 Córdoba Province gubernatorial election? · LLA | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Oct 09, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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