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Coupe de France Spread on Kalshi
If Montpellier Atlas Paillade wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Montpellier Atlas Paillade vs AS Cannes professional Coupe de France soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 68 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Atlas Paillade wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Montpellier Atlas Paillade wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:00 UTC |
| Montpellier Atlas Paillade wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Montpellier Atlas Paillade wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:00 UTC |
| AS Cannes wins by more than 2.5 goals? · AS Cannes wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:00 UTC |
| AS Cannes wins by more than 1.5 goals? · AS Cannes wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:00 UTC |
| Seyssinet AC wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Seyssinet AC wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Seyssinet AC wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Seyssinet AC wins by more than 1.5 goals | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Nimes wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Nimes wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Nimes wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Nimes wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Trelissac FC wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Trelissac FC wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Trelissac FC wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Trelissac FC wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Rives 82 wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Rives 82 wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Rives 82 wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Rives 82 wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Red Star wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Red Star wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Red Star wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Red Star wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Paris 13 Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Paris 13 Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Paris 13 Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Paris 13 Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Olympique Marcquois wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Olympique Marcquois wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Olympique Marcquois wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Olympique Marcquois wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Olympique Charleville Prix Ardenne Metropole wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Olympique Charleville Prix Ardenne Metropole wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Olympique Charleville Prix Ardenne Metropole wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Olympique Charleville Prix Ardenne Metropole wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| En Avt de St Renan wins by more than 2.5 goals? · En Avt de St Renan wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| En Avt de St Renan wins by more than 1.5 goals? · En Avt de St Renan wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Stade Lavallois wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Stade Lavallois wins by more than 2.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| Stade Lavallois wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Stade Lavallois wins by more than 1.5 goals | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:00 UTC |
| IS-Selongey Football wins by more than 2.5 goals? · IS-Selongey Football wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| IS-Selongey Football wins by more than 1.5 goals? · IS-Selongey Football wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| AS Ptt Dijon wins by more than 2.5 goals? · AS Ptt Dijon wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| AS Ptt Dijon wins by more than 1.5 goals? · AS Ptt Dijon wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Lyon La Duchere wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Lyon La Duchere wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Lyon La Duchere wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Lyon La Duchere wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| US Feurs wins by more than 2.5 goals? · US Feurs wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| US Feurs wins by more than 1.5 goals? · US Feurs wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| FC Chambly Oise wins by more than 2.5 goals? · FC Chambly Oise wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| FC Chambly Oise wins by more than 1.5 goals? · FC Chambly Oise wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| AS PTT Caen wins by more than 2.5 goals? · AS PTT Caen wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| AS PTT Caen wins by more than 1.5 goals? · AS PTT Caen wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Bethunois wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Bethunois wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Bethunois wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Bethunois wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Nancy-Lorraine wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Nancy-Lorraine wins by more than 2.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Nancy-Lorraine wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Nancy-Lorraine wins by more than 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 68 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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