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Critics Choice Award for Best Cinematography on Kalshi

If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Project Hail Mary1¢1%0.1¢—2%12,252Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth2¢2%0.1¢—3%9,892Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Werwulf2¢2%0.1¢—3%9,294Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Odyssey62¢62%1.6¢—75%9,278Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Digger win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Digger1¢1%0.1¢—2%8,296Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Fatherland win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Fatherland2¢2%0.1¢—3%7,147Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wild Horse Nine2¢2%0.1¢—3%7,116Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Disclosure Day win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Disclosure Day1¢1%0.1¢—2%5,196Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will La Bola Negra win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · La Bola Negra12¢12%0.7¢—24%4,628Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie1¢1%0.1¢—2%4,255Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dune: Part Three12¢12%0.7¢—23%3,202Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Behemoth! win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Behemoth!2¢2%0.1¢—3%3,113Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Fjord win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Fjord0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,714Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Minotaur win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Minotaur2¢2%0.1¢—3%2,634Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ink win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ink0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,577Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rose win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rose2¢2%0.1¢—3%2,463Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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