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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy on Kalshi

If Wonder Man has won Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Ted win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ted2¢2%0.2¢—5%41,769Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Widow’s Bay win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Widow’s Bay68¢68%1.5¢—64%4,547Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Hacks win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Hacks14¢14%0.8¢—27%2,640Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Margo’s Got Money Troubles win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Margo’s Got Money Troubles2¢2%0.1¢—3%748Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Shrinking win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Shrinking2¢2%0.1¢—3%742Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.1¢—3%512Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Bear win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Bear2¢2%0.1¢—3%465Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Abbott Elementary win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Abbott Elementary2¢2%0.1¢—3%463Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rooster win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rooster2¢2%0.1¢—3%462Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Nobody Wants This win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Nobody Wants This2¢2%0.1¢—3%462Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Comeback win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Comeback2¢2%0.1¢—3%462Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wonder Man win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wonder Man2¢2%0.1¢—3%447Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Scrubs win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Scrubs2¢2%0.1¢—3%447Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat2¢2%0.1¢—3%447Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ghosts win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ghosts2¢2%0.1¢—3%447Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Four Seasons win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Four Seasons2¢2%0.1¢—3%447Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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