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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy on Kalshi
If Wonder Man has won Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ted | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 41,769 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Widow’s Bay win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Widow’s Bay | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 4,547 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hacks win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Hacks | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 2,640 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Margo’s Got Money Troubles win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Margo’s Got Money Troubles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 748 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shrinking win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Shrinking | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 742 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 512 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Bear win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Bear | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 465 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Abbott Elementary win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Abbott Elementary | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 463 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rooster win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rooster | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 462 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nobody Wants This win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Nobody Wants This | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 462 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Comeback win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Comeback | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 462 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wonder Man win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wonder Man | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Scrubs win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Scrubs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ghosts win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ghosts | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Four Seasons win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Four Seasons | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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