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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy Actor on Kalshi

If Zach Braff has won Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)0.1¢$3.432.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Tim Allen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tim Allen2¢2%0.1¢—4%46,223Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.2¢—5%19,369Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Matthew Rhys win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Matthew Rhys84¢84%1.0¢—33%5,776Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jeremy Allen White3¢3%0.2¢—7%3,585Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Denis Leary win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Denis Leary2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,269Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jason Segel win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jason Segel3¢3%0.2¢—6%961Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Zach Braff win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Zach Braff2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Yahya Abdul-Mateen II win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Yahya Abdul-Mateen II2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Utkarsh Ambudkar win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Utkarsh Ambudkar2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tracy Morgan win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tracy Morgan2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Steve Carell win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Steve Carell3¢3%0.2¢—7%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Max Burkholder win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Max Burkholder2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jason Sudeikis win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jason Sudeikis3¢3%0.2¢—7%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh Charles win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Josh Charles2¢2%0.1¢—3%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will David Alan Grier win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · David Alan Grier2¢2%0.1¢—4%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Adam Brody win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Adam Brody3¢3%0.2¢—7%942Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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