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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy Supporting Actor on Kalshi
If Tyler James Williams has won Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ebon Moss-Bachrach win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ebon Moss-Bachrach | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,850 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harrison Ford win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Harrison Ford | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 900 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler James Williams win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tyler James Williams | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Timothy Simons win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Timothy Simons | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen Root win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Stephen Root | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paul W. Downs win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paul W. Downs | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nick Offerman win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Nick Offerman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Urie win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michael Urie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John C. McGinley win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John C. McGinley | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Daniel Radcliffe win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Daniel Radcliffe | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Donald Faison win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Donald Faison | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Perfetti win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Chris Perfetti | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Colman Domingo | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Kingsley win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ben Kingsley | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brett Goldstein win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Brett Goldstein | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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