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Critics Choice Award for Best Costume Design on Kalshi
If Wuthering Heights has won Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will I Love Boosters win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · I Love Boosters | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 6,661 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Odyssey | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 5,264 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · La Bola Negra | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 244 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dune: Part Three | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 204 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wuthering Heights win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wuthering Heights | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 37 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sense and Sensibility | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 2 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wild Horse Nine | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Werwulf win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Werwulf | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Project Hail Mary | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michael | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fatherland win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Fatherland | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Disclosure Day win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Disclosure Day | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Digger win Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Digger | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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