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Critics Choice Award for Best Director on Kalshi
If Tie has won Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Simon Stone win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Simon Stone | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 44,400 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sian Heder win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sian Heder | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,399 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Leigh win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Mike Leigh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 17,203 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Christopher Nolan | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 9,119 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Peter Farrelly win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Peter Farrelly | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,468 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Gray win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · James Gray | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,391 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Alejandro G. Iñárritu | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,537 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 2,166 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Martin McDonagh | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,118 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Denis Villeneuve | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 2,062 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,053 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Olivia Wilde | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,910 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Cristian Mungiu | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,807 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ryusuke Hamaguchi | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,770 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Phil Lord and Chris Miller win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Phil Lord and Chris Miller | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,770 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jesse Eisenberg | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,770 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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