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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Drama Actress on Kalshi
If Zendaya has won Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melissa Roxburgh win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Melissa Roxburgh | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 41,289 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Keri Russell | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 2,303 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carrie Coon win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Carrie Coon | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 74 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 55 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zendaya win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Zendaya | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 6 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yerin Ha win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Yerin Ha | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rebecca Ferguson win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rebecca Ferguson | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Cooke win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Olivia Cooke | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Melissa O’Neil win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Melissa O’Neil | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Myha’la Herrold win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Myha’la Herrold | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kathy Bates win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kathy Bates | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ella Purnell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ella Purnell | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emma D’Arcy win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Emma D’Arcy | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Chase Infiniti | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caitríona Balfe win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Caitríona Balfe | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Angela Bassett win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Angela Bassett | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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