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Critics Choice Award for Best Limited Series Actor on Kalshi
If Tie has won Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Abbott win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Christopher Abbott | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 1,507 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Javier Bardem | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 1,317 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oscar Isaac win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Oscar Isaac | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 801 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Krasinski win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John Krasinski | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 46 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Tennant win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · David Tennant | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 46 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Bernthal win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jon Bernthal | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Worthington win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sam Worthington | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Riz Ahmed win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Riz Ahmed | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Patrick Wilson win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Patrick Wilson | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paul Anthony Kelly win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paul Anthony Kelly | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Sheen win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michael Sheen | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Leo Woodall win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Leo Woodall | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Nesbitt win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · James Nesbitt | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jamie Bell win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jamie Bell | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Avan Jogia win Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Avan Jogia | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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