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Critics Choice Award for Best Limited Series Actress on Kalshi

If Tessa Thompson has won Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Elisabeth Moss win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Elisabeth Moss2¢2%0.2¢—5%38,712Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Florence Pugh win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Florence Pugh60¢60%1.7¢—79%5,754Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Carey Mulligan win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Carey Mulligan2¢2%0.2¢—5%1,653Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sarah Pidgeon win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sarah Pidgeon2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,643Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sally Field win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sally Field18¢18%1.0¢—36%1,197Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,063Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Anya Taylor-Joy win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Anya Taylor-Joy2¢2%0.1¢—3%753Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Amy Adams win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Amy Adams2¢2%0.1¢—3%753Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Dove Cameron win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dove Cameron2¢2%0.1¢—3%743Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Summer H. Howell win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Summer H. Howell2¢2%0.1¢—3%738Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rachel Weisz win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rachel Weisz2¢2%0.1¢—3%738Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ella Bruccoleri win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ella Bruccoleri2¢2%0.1¢—3%738Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Camila Morrone win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Camila Morrone2¢2%0.1¢—3%738Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Kerry Washington win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kerry Washington2¢2%0.1¢—3%737Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tessa Thompson2¢2%0.1¢—3%736Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Kaley Cuoco win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kaley Cuoco2¢2%0.1¢—3%732Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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