What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Critics Choice Award for Best Original Screenplay on Kalshi

If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Digger win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Digger	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	6,126	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,888	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Misty Green win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Misty Green	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	4,888	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Josephine win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Josephine	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,888	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Club Kid win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Club Kid	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	4,804	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wild Horse Nine	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	3,888	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Paper Tiger win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paper Tiger	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,588	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will I Play Rocky win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · I Play Rocky	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,021	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Artificial win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Artificial	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	2,720	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Debut	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	1,567	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Obsession win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Obsession	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	664	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Behemoth! win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Behemoth!	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	629	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tender Loving Care win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tender Loving Care	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	595	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tony win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tony	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	588	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Fjord	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	588	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Elsinore win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Elsinore	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	588	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.