What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Critics Choice Award for Best Visual Effects on Kalshi

If Wildwood has won Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Godzilla Minus Zero	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	9,055	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dune: Part Three	31¢	31%	1.5¢	—	61%	5,219	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Project Hail Mary	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	2,548	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Clayface win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Clayface	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,394	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Avengers: Doomsday	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,170	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Whalefall win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Whalefall	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	599	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Odyssey	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	569	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Spider-Man: Brand New Day	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	369	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wildwood win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wildwood	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Werwulf win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Werwulf	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Supergirl win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Supergirl	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Sheep Detectives win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Sheep Detectives	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Mandalorian and Grogu win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Mandalorian and Grogu	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The End of Oak Street win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The End of Oak Street	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Disclosure Day win Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Disclosure Day	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	365	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.