Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Doordash KPI on Kalshi
If DoorDash Inc. reports Above 980000000 total orders in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
86%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
27% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 86¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $0.49 | 86.8% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1010 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1010 million | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 171 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1170 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1170 million | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 106 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report Above 980 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 980 million | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report Above 990 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 990 million | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report Above 1000 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1000 million | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1090 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1090 million | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1080 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1080 million | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1070 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1070 million | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1060 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1060 million | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1050 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1050 million | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1040 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1040 million | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1030 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1030 million | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
| Will DoorDash Inc. report above 1020 million total orders in Q1 2027? · Above 1020 million | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Sep 02, 20:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.