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Next DCCC Chair on Kalshi
If Steven Horsford formally holds the position of Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Raskin be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Jamie Raskin | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 9,590 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jason Crow be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Jason Crow | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6,256 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lizzie Fletcher be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Lizzie Fletcher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 5,956 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ami Bera be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Ami Bera | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,955 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Morgan McGarvey be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Morgan McGarvey | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,789 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ted Lieu be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Ted Lieu | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 3,411 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Greg Stanton be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Greg Stanton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 3,277 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sharice Davids be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Sharice Davids | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,131 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lauren Underwood be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Lauren Underwood | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,135 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Schneider be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Brad Schneider | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 53 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Steven Horsford be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027? · Steven Horsford | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 09, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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