What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 10¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.17.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 10% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 10%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Which states will enact a data center moratorium? on Kalshi

If a data center moratorium is enacted in Wyoming before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: geography’s official government websites, the Associated Press, Reuters.

Market says (typical open contract)

10%

Median YES price across 47 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

19% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
10¢ (now)	0.6¢	$3.15	10.6%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Indiana	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	57%	508	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Iowa enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Iowa	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	314	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Georgia enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Georgia	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	298	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Ohio	26¢	26%	1.4¢	—	53%	254	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Missouri	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	21%	228	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Arizona enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Arizona	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	222	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · North Carolina	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	55%	207	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Oklahoma	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	201	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Hawaii enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Hawaii	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	162	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Michigan enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Michigan	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	149	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Alabama enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Alabama	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	124	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Alaska enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Alaska	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	124	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Arkansas enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Arkansas	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	123	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Louisiana	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	107	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Rhode Island enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Rhode Island	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	104	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Tennessee enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Tennessee	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	77	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will South Carolina enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · South Carolina	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	67	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will California enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · California	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	42	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Pennsylvania enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Pennsylvania	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	37	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Mississippi enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Mississippi	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	14	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will New Hampshire enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · New Hampshire	58¢	58%	1.7¢	—	83%	7	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Illinois enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Illinois	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will New Jersey enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · New Jersey	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Minnesota enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Minnesota	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Massachusetts enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Massachusetts	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Wisconsin enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Wisconsin	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	65%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Vermont enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Vermont	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Maryland enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Maryland	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	61%	1	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Wyoming enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Wyoming	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will West Virginia enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · West Virginia	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Washington enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Washington	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Virginia enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Virginia	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Utah enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Utah	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will South Dakota enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · South Dakota	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Nevada enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Nevada	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will New Mexico enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · New Mexico	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	59%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Nebraska enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Nebraska	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will North Dakota enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · North Dakota	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Montana enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Montana	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Maine enact a data center moratorium before 2028? · Maine	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 47 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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