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Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 on Kalshi
If the average value of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 spot price is above $68.75 in November 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Ornn.
Market says (typical open contract)
80%
Median YES price across 480 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
41% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 79¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $0.73 | 80.2% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $52.50 in February 2027? · Above $52.50 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 681 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $60.00 in November 2027? · Above $60.00 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 647 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.00 in November 2027? · Above $59.00 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 644 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $58.25 in November 2026? · Above $58.25 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 605 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.25 in December 2026? · Above $59.25 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 600 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $57.75 in January 2027? · Above $57.75 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 600 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.00 in April 2027? · Above $53.00 | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 600 | May 01, 03:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.50 in January 2027? · Above $55.50 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 600 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $61.50 in November 2027? · Above $61.50 | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 589 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.25 in December 2026? · Above $53.25 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 540 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $66.25 in November 2027? · Above $66.25 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 514 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.50 in November 2026? · Above $55.50 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 504 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.75 in November 2026? · Above $55.75 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 426 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $60.75 in November 2027? · Above $60.75 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 418 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $58.00 in November 2026? · Above $58.00 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 405 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.75 in November 2027? · Above $59.75 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 400 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $58.50 in February 2027? · Above $58.50 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 400 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.50 in December 2026? · Above $59.50 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 400 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $58.25 in February 2027? · Above $58.25 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 400 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $56.75 in February 2027? · Above $56.75 | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 400 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $58.25 in December 2026? · Above $58.25 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 400 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $57.50 in December 2026? · Above $57.50 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 400 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $57.75 in November 2026? · Above $57.75 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 400 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $52.25 in February 2027? · Above $52.25 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 400 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.75 in January 2027? · Above $55.75 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 400 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.75 in December 2026? · Above $55.75 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 400 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $53.00 in December 2026? · Above $53.00 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 315 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $51.25 in February 2027? · Above $51.25 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 306 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $54.00 in November 2026? · Above $54.00 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 264 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $50.00 in November 2026? · Above $50.00 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 239 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $49.00 in February 2027? · Above $49.00 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 233 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $50.75 in November 2026? · Above $50.75 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 220 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $52.50 in November 2026? · Above $52.50 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 212 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $57.50 in November 2026? · Above $57.50 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 202 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $66.50 in November 2027? · Above $66.50 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 200 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $61.25 in November 2027? · Above $61.25 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 200 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.50 in November 2027? · Above $59.50 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 200 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $60.25 in February 2027? · Above $60.25 | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 200 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $60.00 in February 2027? · Above $60.00 | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 200 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $59.25 in February 2027? · Above $59.25 | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 200 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 480 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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