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Will Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races in 2026? on Kalshi
If Democrats win ALL of the 2026 U.S. House elections in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, AND Vermont, AND ALL of the 2026 U.S. Senate elections in Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, AND Rhode Island, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Maine Secretary of State, Connecticut Secretary of the State, Rhode Island Board of Elections, New Hampshire Secretary of State, Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Vermont Secretary of State.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win all 2026 U.S. House and Senate elections in New England? · Yes | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 16,683 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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