What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 16¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.94.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 17% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 16%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit on Kalshi

If Donald Trump has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Donald J. Trump v. British Broadcasting Corporation (originally filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ABC, MSNBC, court clerk's office for judicial body, Law360, Bloomberg Law Court Filings, The Wall Street Journal, Westlaw Court Records, PACER, CBS, NBC, Legal Monitor Worldwide, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, The New York Times, STAT News, Politico, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, Reuters.

Market says (typical open contract)

16%

Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

32% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
16¢ (now)	0.9¢	$2.94	16.9%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Donald Trump win Donald J. Trump v. British Broadcasting Corporation? · Before 2028	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	3,581	Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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