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DOGE 15 min on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSDRTI before 11:30 PM EST on Nov 9, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSDRTI before 11:15 PM EST on November 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
99%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
50%
Five-minute and fifteen-minute moves have no measurable predictability; our own 30-day test of the most popular entry rule lost on 76% of trades.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
A coin flip with a cover charge. Skill contributes nothing at this horizon; the fee always does.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 99¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $0.04 | 99.1% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE price up in next 15 mins? · Target Price: $0.0695071 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 100% | 76,034 | Nov 10, 04:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.