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DP World Tour Tournament Winner on Kalshi
If Yuto Katsuragawa wins the DP World Tour Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: DP World Tour.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DP World Tour Championship: Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra wins · Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 9,772 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy wins · Rory McIlroy | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 8,294 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Andy Sullivan wins · Andy Sullivan | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 7,457 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Ryan Fox wins · Ryan Fox | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 6,855 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Victor Perez wins · Victor Perez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 6,038 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Adam Scott wins · Adam Scott | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 5,538 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Jon Rahm wins · Jon Rahm | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 5,342 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Ewen Ferguson wins · Ewen Ferguson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,319 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Bernd Wiesberger wins · Bernd Wiesberger | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,261 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Mikael Lindberg wins · Mikael Lindberg | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,000 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Frederic LaCroix wins · Frederic LaCroix | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,958 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Aaron Rai wins · Aaron Rai | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,267 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Tyrrell Hatton wins · Tyrrell Hatton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 4,240 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Angel Ayora wins · Angel Ayora | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,138 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Thriston Lawrence wins · Thriston Lawrence | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,000 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Martin Couvra wins · Martin Couvra | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,000 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Jayden Schaper wins · Jayden Schaper | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,531 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Jeff Winther wins · Jeff Winther | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,252 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Patrick Reed wins · Patrick Reed | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,962 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Tommy Fleetwood wins · Tommy Fleetwood | 7¢ | 7% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,921 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Joe Dean wins · Joe Dean | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,813 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Yuto Katsuragawa wins · Yuto Katsuragawa | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,771 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Francesco Laporta wins · Francesco Laporta | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,620 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Angel Hidalgo wins · Angel Hidalgo | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,503 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Jacob Skov Olesen wins · Jacob Skov Olesen | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,315 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Davis Bryant wins · Davis Bryant | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,205 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Kristoffer Reitan wins · Kristoffer Reitan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,199 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Freddy Schott wins · Freddy Schott | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,883 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Daniel Hillier wins · Daniel Hillier | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,863 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Shaun Norris wins · Shaun Norris | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,853 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Kota Kaneko wins · Kota Kaneko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,813 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Oliver Lindell wins · Oliver Lindell | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,769 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Casey Jarvis wins · Casey Jarvis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,712 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Manuel Elvira wins · Manuel Elvira | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,509 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Matt Wallace wins · Matt Wallace | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,408 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: David Puig wins · David Puig | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,311 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Julien Guerrier wins · Julien Guerrier | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,300 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Matthew Jordan wins · Matthew Jordan | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,266 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Adrian Meronk wins · Adrian Meronk | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,179 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| DP World Tour Championship: Marcus Armitage wins · Marcus Armitage | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,059 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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