What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 47¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.86.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 49% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 47%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

DP World Tour R2 Leader on Kalshi

If Yuto Katsuragawa is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 DP World Tour Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, DP World Tour.

Market says (typical open contract)

47%

Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

94% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
47¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.86	48.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Yuto Katsuragawa leads at the end of Round 2 · Yuto Katsuragawa	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Victor Perez leads at the end of Round 2 · Victor Perez	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Thriston Lawrence leads at the end of Round 2 · Thriston Lawrence	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Tyrrell Hatton leads at the end of Round 2 · Tyrrell Hatton	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 2 · Tommy Fleetwood	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Shaun Norris leads at the end of Round 2 · Shaun Norris	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Rory McIlroy leads at the end of Round 2 · Rory McIlroy	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Ryan Fox leads at the end of Round 2 · Ryan Fox	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Patrick Reed leads at the end of Round 2 · Patrick Reed	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Oliver Lindell leads at the end of Round 2 · Oliver Lindell	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Niklas Norgaard leads at the end of Round 2 · Niklas Norgaard	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Nacho Elvira leads at the end of Round 2 · Nacho Elvira	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matt Wallace leads at the end of Round 2 · Matt Wallace	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Mikael Lindberg leads at the end of Round 2 · Mikael Lindberg	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matthew Jordan leads at the end of Round 2 · Matthew Jordan	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Manuel Elvira leads at the end of Round 2 · Manuel Elvira	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Martin Couvra leads at the end of Round 2 · Martin Couvra	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Marcus Armitage leads at the end of Round 2 · Marcus Armitage	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kristoffer Reitan leads at the end of Round 2 · Kristoffer Reitan	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kota Kaneko leads at the end of Round 2 · Kota Kaneko	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jeff Winther leads at the end of Round 2 · Jeff Winther	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jayden Schaper leads at the end of Round 2 · Jayden Schaper	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jon Rahm leads at the end of Round 2 · Jon Rahm	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jacob Skov Olesen leads at the end of Round 2 · Jacob Skov Olesen	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Joost Luiten leads at the end of Round 2 · Joost Luiten	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Julien Guerrier leads at the end of Round 2 · Julien Guerrier	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Joe Dean leads at the end of Round 2 · Joe Dean	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jorge Campillo leads at the end of Round 2 · Jorge Campillo	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Hennie Du Plessis leads at the end of Round 2 · Hennie Du Plessis	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Grant Forrest leads at the end of Round 2 · Grant Forrest	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Gregorio De Leo leads at the end of Round 2 · Gregorio De Leo	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Freddy Schott leads at the end of Round 2 · Freddy Schott	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Francesco Laporta leads at the end of Round 2 · Francesco Laporta	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Frederic Lacroix leads at the end of Round 2 · Frederic Lacroix	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra leads at the end of Round 2 · Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Ewen Ferguson leads at the end of Round 2 · Ewen Ferguson	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
David Puig leads at the end of Round 2 · David Puig	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Daniel Hillier leads at the end of Round 2 · Daniel Hillier	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Davis Bryant leads at the end of Round 2 · Davis Bryant	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Dan Bradbury leads at the end of Round 2 · Dan Bradbury	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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