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DANCING WITH THE STARS ELIMINATION on Kalshi
If Tatyana Ali and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order, the official original broadcaster or streaming platform of <competition> (e.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Shum Jr. and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Harry Shum Jr. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 75,491 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Maura Higgins and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Maura Higgins | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 36,376 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Connor Wood and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Connor Wood | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 32,568 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tatyana Ali and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Tatyana Ali | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 30,291 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ezra Frech and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Ezra Frech | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 21,560 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Amber Glenn and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Amber Glenn | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 18,873 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Jenna Dewan and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · Jenna Dewan | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 17,592 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will None and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026? · None | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,085 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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