What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 72¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.98.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 73% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 72%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

disney earnings m on Kalshi

If Vertical Video / Vert is said by any The Walt Disney Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Walt Disney Company live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Walt Disney Company Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

72%

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

56% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
72¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.98	73.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · AI / Artificial Intelligence	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	19%	429	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · NFL Network / RedZone	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	92%	415	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Grogu / Baby Yoda	51¢	51%	1.7¢	—	98%	371	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Buyback / Buy Back	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	365	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Vertical Video / Vert	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	68%	289	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Abu Dhabi	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	55%	187	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Trump	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	9%	148	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Box Office	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	24%	141	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Churn / Churned	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	101	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Toy Story 5	81¢	81%	1.1¢	—	38%	66	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Attendance	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	19%	41	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Epic Universe	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	28	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Fortnite	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	39%	19	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC
What will The Walt Disney Company say during their next earnings call? · Moana	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	Feb 15, 13:30 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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