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Robinhood Earnings Call on Kalshi
If UK / United Kingdom is said by any Robinhood Markets, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Robinhood Markets, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Robinhood Markets, Inc. Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
84%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
32% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 84¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $0.56 | 84.9% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Retirement (3+ times) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 47 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Perp / Perpetual | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 20 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Robinhood Chain | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 5 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Credit Card | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 5 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Tokenization | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · UK / United Kingdom | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Social (3+ times) | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · SIG / Susquehanna | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Memecoin | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Kalshi | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Convertible | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Blockchain | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Bitcoin | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Anthropic / Claude | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Agentic (3+ times) | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Acquired / Acquisition | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | May 10, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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