What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 40¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.10.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 42% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 40%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

Hewlett Packard Enterprise on Kalshi

If Tariff is said by any Hewlett Packard Enterprise representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Hewlett Packard Enterprise live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

40%

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

80% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
40¢ (now)	1.7¢	$2.10	41.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Aruba	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	50	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Tariff	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Self Driving	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Saudi	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · SASE	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Quantum	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Private Cloud AI	93¢	93%	0.5¢	—	14%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Oracle (3+ times)	41¢	41%	1.7¢	—	82%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Morpheus	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Helios (3+ times)	59¢	59%	1.7¢	—	82%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Government	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	67%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Department of Energy	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Automation	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC
What will Hewlett Packard Enterprise say during their next earnings call? · Alletra	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Feb 21, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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