Markets › Kalshi › Mentions
What Will Intuit Say During Their Earnings Call? on Kalshi
If TurboTax Live is said by any Intuit Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Intuit Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Intuit Investor Relations.
Market says (typical open contract)
58%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 58¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.47 | 59.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Pro Tax | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 400 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Desktop | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 277 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · QuickBooks Online | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 215 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Restructuring | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 201 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Intuit Assist | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 171 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · DIY | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 156 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · QuickBooks Advanced | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 149 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · ARPU | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 124 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · IRS | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 84 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · TurboTax Live | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 81 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · OpenAI | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 6 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Anthropic | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 4 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Intuit Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Agentic | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Feb 17, 21:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.