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WHAT WILL VISA SAY IN THEIR NEXT EARNINGS CALL on Kalshi
If Trump is said by any Visa Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Visa Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Visa Inc. Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Holiday | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 279 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Inyo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 147 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · International (3+ times) | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 49 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Cybersecurity | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 16 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times) | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 5 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · NBX / Norwegian Block Exchange | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 5 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Trump | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Tokenization | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Regulation / Regulatory | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Rate Cap / 10% Cap | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · M&A / Merger | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Loyalty | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Inflation | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Hyperscaler | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
| What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Blockchain | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Apr 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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