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EFL League One Game on Kalshi
If Wycombe wins the Wycombe vs Huddersfield professional EFL League One soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
33%
Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
66% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 33¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $2.34 | 34.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster wins · Doncaster | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 9,999 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Leyton Orient wins · Leyton Orient | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 9,001 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 8,402 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Wycombe wins · Wycombe | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 8,275 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Huddersfield wins · Huddersfield | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 7,243 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 6,624 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 6,510 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Mansfield wins · Mansfield | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 3,164 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Stevenage wins · Stevenage | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 2,799 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Sheffield Wednesday wins · Sheffield Wednesday | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 233 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 27 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 26 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 25 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 23 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Wigan wins · Wigan | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Barnsley wins · Barnsley | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Stockport wins · Stockport | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Reading wins · Reading | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Milton Keynes wins · Milton Keynes | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Burton wins · Burton | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Plymouth wins · Plymouth | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Wimbledon wins · Wimbledon | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Blackpool wins · Blackpool | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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