What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

EFL Trophy Total on Kalshi

If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Bromley vs Milton Keynes professional EFL Trophy soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 72 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	3,010	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	1,777	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	17%	1,758	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	17%	1,661	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	1,580	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	92%	570	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	54¢	54%	1.7¢	—	92%	550	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	521	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	238	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	5	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	43¢	43%	1.7¢	—	86%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	88%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	72%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	60%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	60%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	92%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	38¢	38%	1.6¢	—	76%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	68%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	67¢	67%	1.5¢	—	66%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	82¢	82%	1.1¢	—	37%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	35%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 72 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.