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Energy drink point of sale spend array on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Energy drink point of sale spend array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 95, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
77%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
46% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 77¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $0.80 | 78.2% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 105? · Above 105 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,313 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 115? · Above 115 | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 7,253 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 95? · Above 95 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 5,319 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 110? · Above 110 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 4,981 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 100? · Above 100 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,212 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 125? · Above 125 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Energy drink point of sale spend array index for November 2026 be above 120? · Above 120 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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