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English National League Game on Kalshi
If Tie is the result of the Carlisle vs Boston professional English National League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
27%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
54% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.56 | 28.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie is the result · Tie | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Carlisle wins · Carlisle | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Boston wins · Boston | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Fylde wins · Fylde | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Eastleigh wins · Eastleigh | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Gateshead wins · Gateshead | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Barrow wins · Barrow | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Harrogate wins · Harrogate | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Altrincham wins · Altrincham | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Wealdstone wins · Wealdstone | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Hartlepool wins · Hartlepool | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tamworth wins · Tamworth | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Hornchurch wins · Hornchurch | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Kidderminster wins · Kidderminster | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Halifax wins · Halifax | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Worthing wins · Worthing | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Scunthorpe wins · Scunthorpe | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Southend wins · Southend | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Aldershot wins · Aldershot | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Sutton wins · Sutton | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Solihull wins · Solihull | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Yeovil wins · Yeovil | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Boreham wins · Boreham | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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