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English Premier League Game on Kalshi
If Tie is the result of the Brentford vs Everton professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins · Manchester City | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 33,206 | Nov 23, 12:30 UTC |
| Arsenal wins · Arsenal | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 27,331 | Nov 23, 17:30 UTC |
| Bournemouth wins · Bournemouth | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 9,584 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Liverpool wins · Liverpool | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 7,883 | Nov 24, 16:30 UTC |
| Fulham wins · Fulham | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 6,580 | Nov 23, 12:30 UTC |
| Brighton wins · Brighton | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 4,296 | Nov 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Chelsea wins · Chelsea | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 4,209 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Aston Villa wins · Aston Villa | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 2,309 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Manchester United wins · Manchester United | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 2,286 | Nov 24, 16:30 UTC |
| Coventry wins · Coventry | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 2,261 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Nottingham Forest wins · Nottingham Forest | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 1,925 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Sunderland wins · Sunderland | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 1,665 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Tottenham wins · Tottenham | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 1,294 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Leeds United wins · Leeds United | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 1,145 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Newcastle wins · Newcastle | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 1,055 | Nov 23, 17:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 629 | Nov 23, 12:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 569 | Nov 24, 16:30 UTC |
| Brentford wins · Brentford | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 314 | Nov 25, 20:00 UTC |
| Everton wins · Everton | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 308 | Nov 25, 20:00 UTC |
| Ipswich Town wins · Ipswich Town | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 290 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Crystal Palace wins · Crystal Palace | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 280 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 228 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Hull City wins · Hull City | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 203 | Nov 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 165 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 144 | Nov 23, 17:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 81 | Nov 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 76 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 41 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 31 | Nov 25, 20:00 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 3 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.