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EPL Last Place Finisher on Kalshi

If Tottenham finishes in last place in the league table in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
31%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
62% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
31¢ (now)1.5¢$2.4132.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Hull City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Hull City18¢18%1.0¢—35%3,035Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Manchester City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Manchester City34¢34%1.6¢—69%1,894Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Coventry City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Coventry City17¢17%1.0¢—34%1,769Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Crystal Palace finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Crystal Palace14¢14%0.8¢—28%57Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Fulham finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Fulham10¢10%0.6¢—20%20Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Tottenham finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Tottenham30¢30%1.5¢—59%12Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Aston Villa finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Aston Villa32¢32%1.5¢—64%4Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Liverpool finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Liverpool31¢31%1.5¢—62%2Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Sunderland finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Sunderland34¢34%1.6¢—69%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Nottingham Forest finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Nottingham Forest32¢32%1.5¢—63%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Ipswich Town finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Ipswich Town34¢34%1.6¢—68%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Everton finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Everton32¢32%1.5¢—63%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Chelsea finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Chelsea4¢4%0.3¢—8%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Bournemouth finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Bournemouth32¢32%1.5¢—64%1Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Arsenal finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Arsenal29¢29%1.4¢—58%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Newcastle United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Newcastle United33¢33%1.5¢—66%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Manchester United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Manchester United25¢25%1.3¢—50%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Leeds United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Leeds United36¢36%1.6¢—72%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Brighton finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Brighton4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
Will Brentford finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Brentford4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Jun 14, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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