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Euroleague Game on Kalshi
If Besiktas JK wins the Besiktas JK vs ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN, Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
53%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
94% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 53¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.65 | 54.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins · Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 1,789 | Nov 14, 19:05 UTC |
| Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins · Maccabi Tel-Aviv | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 392 | Nov 14, 19:05 UTC |
| KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins · KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 56 | Nov 14, 20:00 UTC |
| Besiktas JK wins · Besiktas JK | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins · ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Panathinaikos BC wins · Panathinaikos BC | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:15 UTC |
| FC Barcelona wins · FC Barcelona | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:15 UTC |
| Virtus Bologna wins · Virtus Bologna | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:30 UTC |
| Anadolu Efes SK wins · Anadolu Efes SK | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:30 UTC |
| Real Madrid wins · Real Madrid | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Nov 14, 20:00 UTC |
| Valencia Basket wins · Valencia Basket | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:30 UTC |
| Bayern Munich wins · Bayern Munich | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:30 UTC |
| BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins · BC Zalgiris Kaunas | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:30 UTC |
| Olimpia Milano wins · Olimpia Milano | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:30 UTC |
| BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins · BC Olympiakos Piraeus | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:15 UTC |
| Dubai Basketball wins · Dubai Basketball | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:15 UTC |
| KK Partizan Belgrade wins · KK Partizan Belgrade | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:45 UTC |
| Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz wins · Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:45 UTC |
| Paris Basketball wins · Paris Basketball | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:45 UTC |
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins · Fenerbahce Istanbul | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:45 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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