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F1 Fastest Pit Stop on Kalshi

If Williams records the fastest pit stop at 2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: DHL Fastest Pit Stop Award.

Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
19% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
10¢ (now)0.6¢$3.1510.6%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Racing Bulls · Racing Bulls18¢18%1.0¢—35%13Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Williams · Williams6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Red Bull Racing · Red Bull Racing10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Mercedes · Mercedes20¢20%1.1¢—41%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: McLaren · McLaren10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Haas · Haas3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Ferrari · Ferrari14¢14%0.8¢—27%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Cadillac · Cadillac4¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Audi · Audi10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Aston Martin · Aston Martin4¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Main Race Fastest Pit Stop: Alpine · Alpine4¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 26, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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