What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 4¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.36.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 4% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 4%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Who will be the Prime Minister of Fiji after their election? on Kalshi

If Tupou Draunidalo becomes Prime Minister of Fiji as a result of government formation following the next Fijian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Feb 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: parliament or legislature of <country>, official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>, office of the head of state of <country>, major national news outlets of <country>, Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of <country>, Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

8% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)	0.3¢	$3.36	4.3%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Aseri Radrodro become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election? · Aseri Radrodro	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	28	Feb 06, 15:00 UTC
Will Inia Seruiratu become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election? · Inia Seruiratu	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	14	Feb 06, 15:00 UTC
Will Biman Prasad become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election? · Biman Prasad	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	2	Feb 06, 15:00 UTC
Will Tupou Draunidalo become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election? · Tupou Draunidalo	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	1	Feb 06, 15:00 UTC
Will Sitiveni Rabuka become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election? · Sitiveni Rabuka	76¢	76%	1.3¢	—	48%	0	Feb 06, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.